Bracketology 2021: Predicting the NCAA Tournament

Welcome to Bracketology 2021, where our resident bracketologist, Justin Meyer, gives you his prediction of what the selection committee would have the NCAA Tournament look like if the season were to end today. He has done bracketology for more than 10 years, and this is his seventh season as part of the Bracket Matrix.

This is not what he would make the bracket if he were the selection committee, and this is not a guess for what it will look like on Selection Sunday (unless, of course, it is Selection Sunday). It is merely a snapshot of where things stand right now.

Our Bubble Watch series is back! Check out the latest entry here to see where everyone stacks up relative to the bubble and learn what your team needs to do to dance. You can also find the last bracketology update here.

This year, the entire 2021 NCAA Tournament will be held in Indiana because of the pandemic, meaning the regions will be unattached to a location. That will not be a factor in what region teams play in.

Without further ado, here is your update for how the Field of 68 stands right now in our Bracketology 2021 (as of games played through Thursday, Feb. 18, 2021):

Bracketology 2021

Region 1

1 GONZAGA vs 16 WAGNER/NORTH CAROLINA A&T

8 Colorado vs 9 San Diego State


5 Wisconsin vs 12 BELMONT

4 Tennessee vs 13 WINTHROP


6 Oklahoma State vs 11 BOISE STATE

3 West Virginia vs 14 LIBERTY


7 Florida vs 10 Xavier

2 Illinois vs 15 VERMONT


Region 4

1 Ohio State vs 16 JAMES MADISON

8 BYU vs 9 UCLA


5 Creighton vs 12 WICHITA STATE

4 Texas Tech vs 13 UC SANTA BARBARA


6 Rutgers vs 11 Drake

3 Houston vs 14 ABILENE CHRISTIAN


7 Purdue vs 10 Colorado State

2 ALABAMA vs 15 SOUTH DAKOTA STATE


Region 2

1 BAYLOR vs 16 TEXAS STATE/PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

8 LOYOLA CHICAGO vs 9 VCU


5 Kansas vs 12 WESTERN KENTUCKY

4 USC vs 13 COLGATE


6 Missouri vs 11 Minnesota/Seton Hall

3 VIRGINIA vs 14 UNC GREENSBORO


7 Arkansas vs 10 Oregon

2 Iowa vs 15 SIENA


Region 3

1 MICHIGAN vs 16 EASTERN WASHINGTON

8 LSU vs 9 Louisville


5 Texas vs 12 Stanford/Connecticut

4 Florida State vs 13 TOLEDO


6 Virginia Tech vs 11 Maryland

3 VILLANOVA vs 14 WRIGHT STATE


7 Clemson vs 10 Indiana

2 Oklahoma vs 15 GRAND CANYON


The Bubble

Last Four Byes

Oregon

Colorado State

Drake

Maryland

Last Four In

Minnesota

Stanford

Seton Hall

Connecticut

First Four Out

Saint Louis

Utah State

St. Bonaventure

Ole Miss

Next Four Out

North Carolina

St. John’s

Richmond

Georgia Tech


S-Curve

  1. Gonzaga
  2. Baylor
  3. Michigan
  4. Ohio State
  5. Illinois
  6. Alabama
  7. Iowa
  8. Oklahoma
  9. Houston
  10. Villanova
  11. Virginia
  12. West Virginia
  13. Tennessee
  14. Texas Tech
  15. USC
  16. Florida State
  17. Texas
  18. Creighton
  19. Kansas
  20. Wisconsin
  21. Oklahoma State
  22. Virginia Tech
  23. Missouri
  24. Rutgers
  25. Purdue
  26. Clemson
  27. Arkansas
  28. Florida
  29. Colorado
  30. Loyola Chicago
  31. LSU
  32. BYU
  33. UCLA
  34. Louisville
  35. VCU
  36. San Diego State
  37. Xavier
  38. Indiana
  39. Oregon
  40. Colorado State
  41. Boise State
  42. Drake
  43. Maryland
  44. Minnesota
  45. Stanford
  46. Seton Hall
  47. Connecticut
  48. Wichita State
  49. Western Kentucky
  50. Belmont
  51. Winthrop
  52. Colgate
  53. Toledo
  54. UC Santa Barbara
  55. Abilene Christian
  56. Wright State
  57. UNC Greensboro
  58. Liberty
  59. Vermont
  60. Siena
  61. Grand Canyon
  62. South Dakota State
  63. James Madison
  64. Eastern Washington
  65. Texas State
  66. Prairie View A&M
  67. Wagner
  68. North Carolina A&T

Per Conference

Big Ten – 10 (Michigan, Ohio State, Illinois, Iowa, Wisconsin, Rutgers, Purdue, Indiana, Maryland, Minnesota)

Big 12 – 7 (Baylor, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Texas Tech, Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma State)

SEC – 6 (Alabama, Tennessee, Missouri, Arkansas, Florida, LSU)

ACC – 5 (Virginia, Florida State, Virginia Tech, Clemson, Louisville)

Big East – 5 (Villanova, Creighton, Xavier, Seton Hall, Connecticut)

Pac-12 – 5 (USC, Colorado, UCLA, Oregon, Stanford)

MWC – 3 (San Diego State, Colorado State, Boise State)

AAC – 2 (Houston, Wichita State)

MVC – 2 (Loyola Chicago, Drake)

WCC – 2 (Gonzaga, BYU)

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