Bracketology 2021: Predicting the NCAA Tournament

Welcome to Bracketology 2021, where our resident bracketologist, Justin Meyer, gives you his prediction of what the selection committee would have the NCAA Tournament look like if the season were to end today. He has done bracketology for more than 10 years, and this is his seventh season as part of the Bracket Matrix.

This is not what he would make the bracket if he were the selection committee, and this is not a guess for what it will look like on Selection Sunday (unless, of course, it is Selection Sunday). It is merely a snapshot of where things stand right now.

Per usual, you can expect our Bubble Watch series to return later in the season, breaking down where all remotely relevant teams stand relative to the cutline, with resume explanations and a set of requirements for what the team needs to secure its spot in the Big Dance. Here is where you can find the Bubble Watch from last season (before it was called off) to see what’s in store, and you can find the last bracketology update here.

This year, the entire 2021 NCAA Tournament will be held in Indiana because of the pandemic, meaning the regions will be unattached to a location. That will not be a factor in what region teams play in.

Without further ado, here is your update for how the Field of 68 stands right now in our Bracketology 2021 (as of games played through Monday, Feb. 15, 2021):

Bracketology 2021

Region 1

1 GONZAGA vs 16 PRAIRIE VIEW A&M/NORTH CAROLINA A&T

8 LSU vs 9 Minnesota


5 Texas vs 12 BELMONT

4 Florida State vs 13 WINTHROP


6 Oklahoma State vs 11 Boise State

3 Iowa vs 14 LIBERTY


7 Purdue vs 10 Stanford

2 Oklahoma vs 15 SIENA


Region 4

1 Ohio State vs 16 EASTERN WASHINGTON

8 UCLA vs 9 Louisville


5 Wisconsin vs 12 St. Bonaventure/Connecticut

4 USC vs 13 UC SANTA BARBARA


6 Virginia Tech vs 11 Oregon/Seton Hall

3 West Virginia vs 14 UNC GREENSBORO


7 Colorado vs 10 San Diego State

2 ALABAMA vs 15 JAMES MADISON


Region 2

1 BAYLOR vs 16 TEXAS STATE/MOUNT ST. MARY’S

8 Xavier vs 9 Arkansas


5 Creighton vs 12 WESTERN KENTUCKY

4 Tennessee vs 13 COLGATE


6 Rutgers vs 11 Drake

3 VILLANOVA vs 14 WRIGHT STATE


7 Florida vs 10 Colorado State

2 Illinois vs 15 GRAND CANYON


Region 3

1 MICHIGAN vs 16 UMBC

8 LOYOLA CHICAGO vs 9 BYU


5 Missouri vs 12 UTAH STATE

4 Texas Tech vs 13 TOLEDO


6 Kansas vs 11 VCU

3 VIRGINIA vs 14 ABILENE CHRISTIAN


7 Clemson vs 10 Indiana

2 HOUSTON vs 15 SOUTH DAKOTA STATE


The Bubble

Last Four Byes

Stanford

Indiana

Boise State

Drake

Last Four In

Oregon

St. Bonaventure

Seton Hall

Connecticut

First Four Out

Maryland

Saint Louis

Ole Miss

Richmond

Next Four Out

North Carolina

St. John’s

Georgia Tech

SMU


S-Curve

  1. Gonzaga
  2. Baylor
  3. Michigan
  4. Ohio State
  5. Illinois
  6. Alabama
  7. Houston
  8. Oklahoma
  9. Villanova
  10. Iowa
  11. Virginia
  12. West Virginia
  13. Tennessee
  14. Texas Tech
  15. USC
  16. Florida State
  17. Texas
  18. Missouri
  19. Creighton
  20. Wisconsin
  21. Virginia Tech
  22. Kansas
  23. Oklahoma State
  24. Rutgers
  25. Purdue
  26. Florida
  27. Clemson
  28. Colorado
  29. UCLA
  30. Loyola Chicago
  31. Xavier
  32. LSU
  33. Arkansas
  34. Minnesota
  35. BYU
  36. Louisville
  37. Colorado State
  38. San Diego State
  39. Stanford
  40. Indiana
  41. Boise State
  42. Drake
  43. VCU
  44. Oregon
  45. St. Bonaventure
  46. Seton Hall
  47. Connecticut
  48. Utah State
  49. Western Kentucky
  50. Belmont
  51. Winthrop
  52. Colgate
  53. Toledo
  54. UC Santa Barbara
  55. UNC Greensboro
  56. Abilene Christian
  57. Wright State
  58. Liberty
  59. Siena
  60. Grand Canyon
  61. South Dakota State
  62. James Madison
  63. Eastern Washington
  64. UMBC
  65. Texas State
  66. Mount St. Mary’s
  67. Prairie View A&M
  68. North Carolina A&T

Per Conference

Big Ten – 9 (Michigan, Ohio State, Illinois, Iowa, Wisconsin, Rutgers, Purdue, Minnesota, Indiana)

Big 12 – 7 (Baylor, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Texas Tech, Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma State)

SEC – 6 (Alabama, Tennessee, Missouri, Florida, LSU, Arkansas)

ACC – 5 (Virginia, Florida State, Virginia Tech, Clemson, Louisville)

Big East – 5 (Villanova, Creighton, Xavier, Seton Hall, Connecticut)

Pac-12 – 5 (USC, Colorado, UCLA, Stanford, Oregon)

MWC – 4 (Colorado State, San Diego State, Boise State, Utah State)

A-10 – 2 (VCU, St. Bonaventure)

MVC – 2 (Loyola Chicago, Drake)

WCC – 2 (Gonzaga, BYU)

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