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We are well into the 2020-21 college basketball season, and that means it's time to bring Bracketology 2021 to life. Who's in and who's out?

Bracketology 2021: Predicting the NCAA Tournament


Welcome to Bracketology 2021, where our resident bracketologist, Justin Meyer, gives you his prediction of what the selection committee would have the NCAA Tournament look like if the season were to end today. He has done bracketology for more than 10 years, and this is his seventh season as part of the Bracket Matrix.

This is not what he would make the bracket if he were the selection committee, and this is not a guess for what it will look like on Selection Sunday (unless, of course, it is Selection Sunday). It is merely a snapshot of where things stand right now.

Our Bubble Watch series is back! Check out the latest entry here to see where everyone stacks up relative to the bubble and learn what your team needs to do to dance. You can also find the last bracketology update here.

This year, the entire 2021 NCAA Tournament will be held in Indiana because of the pandemic, meaning the regions will be unattached to a location. That will not be a factor in what region teams play in.

Without further ado, here is your update for how the Field of 68 stands right now in our Bracketology 2021 (as of games played through Monday, March 1, 2021):

Bracketology 2021

Region 1

1 GONZAGA vs 16 NICHOLLS/NORTH CAROLINA A&T

8 LOYOLA CHICAGO vs 9 Maryland


5 Virginia vs 12 WINTHROP

4 Texas vs 13 TOLEDO


6 BYU vs 11 Colorado State

3 Kansas vs 14 EASTERN WASHINGTON


7 Tennessee vs 10 Boise State

2 Iowa vs 15 BRYANT


Region 4

1 Illinois vs 16 GRAND CANYON

8 Oregon vs 9 LSU


5 Colorado vs 12 Drake/Seton Hall

4 Texas Tech vs 13 LIBERTY


6 USC vs 11 ST. BONAVENTURE

3 FLORIDA STATE vs 14 BELMONT


7 SAN DIEGO STATE vs 10 North Carolina

2 ALABAMA vs 15 JAMES MADISON


Region 2

1 MICHIGAN vs 16 CLEVELAND STATE/PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

8 Virginia Tech vs 9 UCLA


5 Purdue vs 12 WESTERN KENTUCKY

4 Oklahoma State vs 13 UC SANTA BARBARA


6 Clemson vs 11 Connecticut/Xavier*

3 Houston vs 14 SOUTH DAKOTA STATE


7 Wisconsin vs 10 Louisville

2 West Virginia vs 15 SIENA


Region 3

1 BAYLOR vs 16 TEXAS STATE

8 Missouri vs 9 Rutgers


5 Oklahoma vs 12 WICHITA STATE

4 VILLANOVA vs 13 NAVY


6 Creighton vs 11 Georgia Tech

3 Arkansas vs 14 UNC GREENSBORO


7 Florida vs 10 VCU

2 Ohio State vs 15 UMBC

*= It goes against bracket rules to pair two teams from the same conference against one another. But with three of my four last teams in coming from the Big East, I broke the rule for this bracket, because I felt it was more important to convey that information. If this were the final bracket, the committee would be faced with a big decision on whether to break its rule or force the fifth team in to play an extra game.


The Bubble

Last Four Byes

Louisville

Boise State

Colorado State

Georgia Tech

Last Four In

Connecticut

Xavier

Drake

Seton Hall

First Four Out

Michigan State

Duke

Utah State

Saint Louis

Next Four Out

Indiana

Stanford

Minnesota

Ole Miss


S-Curve

  1. Gonzaga
  2. Michigan
  3. Baylor
  4. Illinois
  5. Ohio State
  6. Iowa
  7. Alabama
  8. West Virginia
  9. Kansas
  10. Houston
  11. Florida State
  12. Arkansas
  13. Villanova
  14. Texas Tech
  15. Oklahoma State
  16. Texas
  17. Virginia
  18. Oklahoma
  19. Purdue
  20. Colorado
  21. USC
  22. Creighton
  23. Clemson
  24. BYU
  25. Tennessee
  26. Florida
  27. Wisconsin
  28. San Diego State
  29. Missouri
  30. Oregon
  31. Virginia Tech
  32. Loyola Chicago
  33. Maryland
  34. LSU
  35. Rutgers
  36. UCLA
  37. North Carolina
  38. VCU
  39. Louisville
  40. Boise State
  41. Colorado State
  42. Georgia Tech
  43. Connecticut
  44. St. Bonaventure
  45. Xavier
  46. Drake
  47. Seton Hall
  48. Wichita State
  49. Western Kentucky
  50. Winthrop
  51. Toledo
  52. UC Santa Barbara
  53. Navy
  54. Liberty
  55. Belmont
  56. UNC Greensboro
  57. South Dakota State
  58. Eastern Washington
  59. Bryant
  60. Siena
  61. UMBC
  62. James Madison
  63. Grand Canyon
  64. Texas State
  65. Cleveland tate
  66. Prairie View A&M
  67. Nicholls
  68. North Carolina A&T

Per Conference

Big Ten – 8 (Michigan, Illinois, Ohio State, Iowa, Purdue, Wisconsin, Maryland, Rutgers)

ACC – 7 (Florida State, Virginia, Clemson, Virginia Tech, North Carolina, Louisville, Georgia Tech)

Big 12 – 7 (Baylor, West Virginia, Kansas, Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, Texas, Oklahoma)

SEC – 6 (Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Florida, Missouri, LSU)

Big East – 5 (Villanova, Creighton, Connecticut, Xavier, Seton Hall)

Pac-12 – 4 (Colorado, USC, Oregon, UCLA)

MWC – 3 (San Diego State, Boise State, Colorado State)

AAC – 2 (Houston, Wichita State)

A-10 – 2 (VCU, St. Bonaventure)

MVC – 2 (Loyola Chicago, Drake)

WCC – 2 (Gonzaga, BYU)

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