Bracketology 2021: Predicting the NCAA Tournament


Welcome to Bracketology 2021, where our resident bracketologist, Justin Meyer, gives you his prediction of what the selection committee would have the NCAA Tournament look like if the season were to end today. He has done bracketology for more than 10 years, and this is his seventh season as part of the Bracket Matrix.

This is not what he would make the bracket if he were the selection committee, and this is not a guess for what it will look like on Selection Sunday (unless, of course, it is Selection Sunday). It is merely a snapshot of where things stand right now.

Our Bubble Watch series is back! Check out the latest entry here to see where everyone stacks up relative to the bubble and learn what your team needs to do to dance. You can also find the last bracketology update here.

This year, the entire 2021 NCAA Tournament will be held in Indiana because of the pandemic, meaning the regions will be unattached to a location. That will not be a factor in what region teams play in.

Without further ado, here is your update for how the Field of 68 stands right now in our Bracketology 2021 (as of games played through Thursday, March 11, 2021):

Bracketology 2021

Region 1

1 GONZAGA vs 16 APPALACHIAN STATE/NORTH CAROLINA A&T

8 Rutgers vs 9 North Carolina


5 Tennessee vs 12 WINTHROP

4 Villanova vs 13 TOLEDO


6 Missouri vs 11 Michigan State

3 Kansas vs 14 SOUTHERN UTAH


7 BYU vs 10 Georgia Tech

2 Ohio State vs 15 GRAND CANYON


Region 4

1 Illinois vs 16 HARTFORD

8 LSU vs 9 Virginia Tech


5 USC vs 12 Boise State/Utah State*

4 West Virginia vs 13 LIBERTY


6 Colorado vs 11 Louisville

3 Oklahoma State vs 14 COLGATE


7 Wisconsin vs 10 VCU

2 ALABAMA vs 15 DREXEL


Region 2

1 BAYLOR vs 16 NICHOLLS/PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

8 SAN DIEGO STATE vs 9 Clemson


5 FLORIDA STATE vs 12 WESTERN KENTUCKY

4 Purdue vs 13 UC SANTA BARBARA


6 OREGON vs 11 Drake

3 Arkansas vs 14 CLEVELAND STATE


7 Oklahoma vs 10 ST. BONAVENTURE

2 Iowa vs 15 ORAL ROBERTS


1 MICHIGAN vs 16 SAINT PETER’S

8 LOYOLA CHICAGO vs 9 Connecticut


5 Texas Tech vs 12 WICHITA STATE

4 Virginia vs 13 UNC GREENSBORO


6 CREIGHTON vs 11 Colorado State/Ole Miss

3 Texas vs 14 MOREHEAD STATE


7 Florida vs 10 Maryland

2 Houston vs 15 MOUNT ST. MARY’S

*= It goes against bracket rules to pair two teams from the same conference against one another. But with three of my four last teams in coming from the Mountain West, I broke the rule for this bracket, because I felt it was more important to convey that information. If this were the final bracket, the committee would be faced with a big decision on whether to break its rule or force the fifth team in to play an extra game.


The Bubble

Last Four Byes

Georgia Tech

Michigan State

Drake

Louisville

Last Four In

Colorado State

Ole Miss

Boise State

Utah State

First Four Out

Saint Louis

Seton Hall

Syracuse

UCLA

Next Four Out

St. John’s

Xavier

Memphis

SMU


S-Curve

  1. Gonzaga
  2. Baylor
  3. Michigan
  4. Illinois
  5. Iowa
  6. Alabama
  7. Ohio State
  8. Houston
  9. Arkansas
  10. Kansas
  11. Texas
  12. Oklahoma State
  13. West Virginia
  14. Purdue
  15. Virginia
  16. Villanova
  17. Tennessee
  18. Florida State
  19. USC
  20. Texas Tech
  21. Colorado
  22. Creighton
  23. Missouri
  24. Oregon
  25. BYU
  26. Oklahoma
  27. Wisconsin
  28. Florida
  29. LSU
  30. Loyola Chicago
  31. San Diego State
  32. Rutgers
  33. North Carolina
  34. Clemson
  35. Connecticut
  36. Virginia Tech
  37. VCU
  38. St. Bonaventure
  39. Maryland
  40. Georgia Tech
  41. Michigan State
  42. Drake
  43. Louisville
  44. Colorado State
  45. Ole Miss
  46. Boise State
  47. Utah State
  48. Wichita State
  49. Western Kentucky
  50. Winthrop
  51. Toledo
  52. UC Santa Barbara
  53. UNC Greensboro
  54. Liberty
  55. Colgate
  56. Morehead State
  57. Cleveland State
  58. Southern Utah
  59. Grand Canyon
  60. Oral Roberts
  61. Mount St. Mary’s
  62. Drexel
  63. Hartford
  64. Saint Peter’s
  65. Nicholls
  66. Prairie View A&M
  67. Appalachian State
  68. North Carolina A&T

Per Conference

Big Ten – 9 (Michigan, Illinois, Iowa, Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin, Rutgers, Maryland, Michigan State)

ACC – 7 (Virginia, Florida State, North Carolina, Clemson, Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, Louisville)

Big 12 – 7 (Baylor, Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Texas Tech, Oklahoma)

SEC – 7 (Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Missouri, Florida, LSU, Ole Miss)

MWC – 4 (San Diego State, Colorado State, Boise State, Utah State)

Big East – 3 (Villanova, Creighton, Connecticut)

Pac-12 – 3 (USC, Colorado, Oregon)

AAC – 2 (Houston, Wichita State)

A-10 – 2 (VCU, St. Bonaventure)

MVC – 2 (Loyola Chicago, Drake)

WCC – 2 (Gonzaga, BYU)

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