Bracketology 2021: Predicting the NCAA Tournament


Welcome to Bracketology 2021, where our resident bracketologist, Justin Meyer, gives you his prediction of what the selection committee would have the NCAA Tournament look like if the season were to end today. He has done bracketology for more than 10 years, and this is his seventh season as part of the Bracket Matrix.

This is not what he would make the bracket if he were the selection committee, and this is not a guess for what it will look like on Selection Sunday (unless, of course, it is Selection Sunday). It is merely a snapshot of where things stand right now.

Our Bubble Watch series is back! Check out the latest entry here to see where everyone stacks up relative to the bubble and learn what your team needs to do to dance. You can also find the last bracketology update here.

This year, the entire 2021 NCAA Tournament will be held in Indiana because of the pandemic, meaning the regions will be unattached to a location. That will not be a factor in what region teams play in.

Without further ado, here is your update for how the Field of 68 stands right now in our Bracketology 2021 (as of games played through Wednesday, March 10, 2021):

Bracketology 2021

Region 1

1 GONZAGA vs 16 APPALACHIAN STATE/NORTH CAROLINA A&T

8 Virginia Tech vs 9 Rutgers


5 Florida State vs 12 WINTHROP

4 Oklahoma State vs 13 TOLEDO


6 Oklahoma vs 11 Maryland

3 Arkansas vs 14 ORAL ROBERTS


7 Missouri vs 10 Georgia Tech

2 Iowa vs 15 MOUNT ST. MARY’S


Region 4

1 Illinois vs 16 HARTFORD

8 SAN DIEGO STATE vs 9 Connecticut


5 USC vs 12 Colorado State/Ole Miss

4 VILLANOVA vs 13 LIBERTY


6 Colorado vs 11 Louisville/Boise State

3 Texas vs 14 COLGATE


7 OREGON vs 10 VCU

2 ALABAMA vs 15 DREXEL


Region 2

1 BAYLOR vs 16 NICHOLLS/PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

8 Wisconsin vs 9 Clemson


5 Texas Tech vs 12 WESTERN KENTUCKY

4 Purdue vs 13 UC SANTA BARBARA


6 BYU vs 11 UCLA

3 Kansas vs 14 CLEVELAND STATE


7 Florida vs 10 ST. BONAVENTURE

2 Ohio State vs 15 SOUTHERN UTAH


Region 3

1 MICHIGAN vs 16 SAINT PETER’S

8 LOYOLA CHICAGO vs 9 North Carolina


5 Tennessee vs 12 WICHITA STATE

4 VIRGINIA vs 13 UNC GREENSBORO


6 Creighton vs 11 Drake

3 West Virginia vs 14 MOREHEAD STATE


7 LSU vs 10 Michigan State

2 Houston vs 15 GRAND CANYON


The Bubble

Last Four Byes

Michigan State

Maryland

UCLA

Drake

Last Four In

Louisville

Boise State

Colorado State

Ole Miss

First Four Out

Saint Louis

Utah State

Duke

Syracuse

Next Four Out

St. John’s

Xavier

Seton Hall

Memphis


S-Curve

  1. Gonzaga
  2. Baylor
  3. Michigan
  4. Illinois
  5. Iowa
  6. Alabama
  7. Ohio State
  8. Houston
  9. Arkansas
  10. Kansas
  11. West Virginia
  12. Texas
  13. Oklahoma State
  14. Purdue
  15. Villanova
  16. Virginia
  17. Florida State
  18. Texas Tech
  19. Tennessee
  20. USC
  21. Colorado
  22. Creighton
  23. Oklahoma
  24. BYU
  25. Missouri
  26. Oregon
  27. Florida
  28. LSU
  29. Wisconsin
  30. San Diego State
  31. Loyola Chicago
  32. Virginia Tech
  33. Rutgers
  34. Clemson
  35. North Carolina
  36. Connecticut
  37. VCU
  38. St. Bonaventure
  39. Georgia Tech
  40. Michigan State
  41. Maryland
  42. UCLA
  43. Drake
  44. Louisville
  45. Boise State
  46. Colorado State
  47. Wichita State
  48. Ole Miss
  49. Western Kentucky
  50. Winthrop
  51. Toledo
  52. UC Santa Barbara
  53. UNC Greensboro
  54. Liberty
  55. Colgate
  56. Morehead State
  57. Cleveland State
  58. Oral Roberts
  59. Mount St. Mary’s
  60. Southern Utah
  61. Grand Canyon
  62. Drexel
  63. Hartford
  64. Saint Peter’s
  65. Nicholls
  66. Prairie View A&M
  67. Appalachian State
  68. North Carolina A&T

Per Conference

Big Ten – 9 (Michigan, Illinois, Iowa, Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin, Rutgers, Michigan State, Maryland)

ACC – 7 (Virginia, Florida State, Virginia Tech, Clemson, North Carolina, Georgia Tech, Louisville)

Big 12 – 7 (Baylor, Kansas, West Virginia, Texas, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, Oklahoma)

SEC – 7 (Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Missouri, Florida, LSU, Ole Miss)

Pac-12 – 4 (USC, Colorado, Oregon, UCLA)

Big East – 3 (Villanova, Creighton, Connecticut)

MWC – 3 (San Diego State, Boise State, Colorado State)

AAC – 2 (Houston, Wichita State)

A-10 – 2 (VCU, St. Bonaventure)

MVC – 2 (Loyola Chicago, Drake)

WCC – 2 (Gonzaga, BYU)

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