Bracketology 2021: Predicting the NCAA Tournament

Welcome to Bracketology 2021, where our resident bracketologist, Justin Meyer, gives you his prediction of what the selection committee would have the NCAA Tournament look like if the season were to end today. He has done bracketology for more than 10 years, and this is his seventh season as part of the Bracket Matrix.

This is not what he would make the bracket if he were the selection committee, and this is not a guess for what it will look like on Selection Sunday (unless, of course, it is Selection Sunday). It is merely a snapshot of where things stand right now.

Per usual, you can expect our Bubble Watch series to return later in the season, breaking down where all remotely relevant teams stand relative to the cutline, with resume explanations and a set of requirements for what the team needs to secure its spot in the Big Dance. Here is where you can find the final bracket and Bubble Watch from last season (before it was called off) to see what’s in store.

This year, the entire 2021 NCAA Tournament will be held in Indiana because of the pandemic, meaning the regions will be unattached to a location. That will not be a factor in what region teams play in.

Without further ado, here is your update for how the Field of 68 stands right now in our Bracketology 2021 (as of games played through Thursday, Jan. 21, 2021):

Bracketology 2021

Region 1

1 GONZAGA vs 16 JACKSONVILLE/NORTH CAROLINA A&T

8 BOISE STATE vs 9 Saint Louis


5 Minnesota vs 12 Stanford/Pittsburgh

4 Texas Tech vs 13 FURMAN


6 Florida State vs 11 DRAKE

3 Illinois vs 14 TEXAS STATE


7 Purdue vs 10 Arkansas

2 HOUSTON vs 15 NORTHEASTERN


Region 4

1 VILLANOVA vs 16 MONTANA STATE

8 USC vs 9 Florida


5 Colorado vs 12 ST. BONAVENTURE

4 Kansas vs 13 SIENA


6 Creighton vs 11 Rutgers

3 ALABAMA vs 14 NAVY


7 Connecticut vs 10 Oklahoma

2 Iowa vs 15 CLEVELAND STATE


Region 2

1 BAYLOR vs 16 UTAH VALLEY/SOUTHERN

8 BYU vs 9 Xavier


5 UCLA vs 12 TOLEDO

4 Missouri vs 13 UAB


6 Oklahoma State vs 11 San Diego State/North Carolina

3 Wisconsin vs 14 SAM HOUSTON STATE


7 Oregon vs 10 Seton Hall

2 Tennessee vs 15 UMBC


Region 3

1 MICHIGAN vs 16 SOUTH DAKOTA

8 Louisville vs 9 LSU


5 West Virginia vs 12 WINTHROP

4 VIRGINIA vs 13 BELMONT


6 Clemson vs 11 Richmond

3 Ohio State vs 14 BRYANT


7 Virginia Tech vs 10 Indiana

2 Texas vs 15 UC IRVINE


The Bubble

Last Four Byes

Oklahoma

Arkansas

Richmond

Rutgers

Last Four In

San Diego State

North Carolina

Stanford

Pittsburgh

First Four Out

Marquette

Utah State

Maryland

Colorado State

Next Four Out

VCU

Providence

Western Kentucky

Wichita State


S-Curve

  1. Gonzaga
  2. Baylor
  3. Michigan
  4. Villanova
  5. Iowa
  6. Texas
  7. Tennessee
  8. Houston
  9. Alabama
  10. Wisconsin
  11. Ohio State
  12. Illinois
  13. Kansas
  14. Virginia
  15. Texas Tech
  16. Missouri
  17. Minnesota
  18. UCLA
  19. West Virginia
  20. Colorado
  21. Creighton
  22. Clemson
  23. Oklahoma State
  24. Florida State
  25. Purdue
  26. Oregon
  27. Virginia Tech
  28. Connecticut
  29. USC
  30. Louisville
  31. Boise State
  32. BYU
  33. Saint Louis
  34. Xavier
  35. LSU
  36. Florida
  37. Indiana
  38. Seton Hall
  39. Oklahoma
  40. Arkansas
  41. Drake
  42. Richmond
  43. Rutgers
  44. San Diego State
  45. North Carolina
  46. Stanford
  47. Pittsburgh
  48. St. Bonaventure
  49. Winthrop
  50. Toledo
  51. Furman
  52. UAB
  53. Belmont
  54. Siena
  55. Navy
  56. Bryant
  57. Sam Houston STate
  58. Texas State
  59. Northeastern
  60. UMBC
  61. UC Irvine
  62. Cleveland State
  63. Montana State
  64. South Dakota
  65. Utah Valley
  66. Southern
  67. Jacksonville
  68. North Carolina A&T

Per Conference

Big Ten – 9 (Michigan, Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio State, Illinois, Minnesota, Purdue, Indiana, Rutgers)

ACC – 7 (Virginia, Clemson, Florida State, Virginia Tech, Louisville, North Carolina, Pittsburgh)

Big 12 – 7 (Baylor, Texas, Kansas, Texas Tech, West Virginia, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma)

SEC – 6 (Tennessee, Alabama, Missouri, LSU, Florida, Arkansas)

Big East – 5 (Villanova, Creighton, Connecticut, Xavier, Seton Hall)

Pac-12 – 5 (UCLA, Colorado, Oregon, USC, Stanford)

A-10 – 3 (Saint Louis, Richmond, St. Bonaventure)

MWC – 2 (Boise State, San Diego State)

WCC – 2 (Gonzaga, BYU)

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